Texans rookie CJ Stroud has actually played some phenomenal football to start his career. He's getting by on some big plays, which has been typical for him in his career thus far. Quarterback Kenny Pickett has operated with some bottom-tier passing efficiency through three games and is 8.6 points worse in passing success rate (34.8%) than the NFL average (43.4%). The Commanders are at a -28 despite their 2-1 record, but the 0-3 Vikings are at a -13. In an unconventional twist, the Pittsburgh Steelers have a 2-1 record but a -14 point differential. Unsurprisingly, Tua Tagovailoa is leading all quarterbacks in EPA per drop back (+0.59) with no other qualified passer above a +0.20 mark.Īnd he should be getting receiver Jaylen Waddle back Waddle has cleared concussion protocol and is expected to return in Week 4. These two teams are putting distance between themselves and the Patriots (-7) and Jets (-19) already. Dolphins at Bills Week 4 Oddsįresh off of a 70-point explosion and the arrival of running back De'Von Achane, the Miami Dolphins head to Buffalo to face the Bills, who have won two straight matchups after dropping their opener.ĭespite a 3-0 record of their own and a 50-point victory in Week 3, Miami's point differential (+59) is only three points better than Buffalo's (+56). Zay Jones did not practice at all this week and is out for Week 4.

Adjusting his performance for opponents, he's still underperforming, but the matchup with Atlanta (19th in pass defense) could help this team find its groove in London at Wembley Stadium.

Trevor Lawrence is averaging just 6.5 yards per pass attempt but has played two top-12 defenses by EPA per drop back allowed. On the season, Atlanta ranks 32nd in the NFL in PROE (-11.3%).Īs for the Jaguars, they were upset by division rivals, the Houston Texans, in Week 3 and are now just 1-2 on the season with a worrisome -18 point differential. They had to throw the ball at a high rate (69.2% raw pass rate) but still stuck to their philosophy and had a -5.6% pass rate over expectation (PROE) in the loss.

The Falcons suffered their first loss of the season in Week 3 when they fell 20-6 to the Lions. View Full Table Falcons at Jaguars Week 4 Odds

Gambling week 4 nfl betting